Friday, February 25, 2011


Here’s another article trying to open up a can of worms about Mike Quade being chosen manager of the Chcago Cubs over Ryne Sandberg.

Yes, Ryne Sandberg is a hero in these parts. He’s a member of the Baseball Hall of Fame. All but a couple of games in his career were played in a Chicago Cubs uniform. (He’s going to manage the Phillies’ AAA team – he was originally traded to the Cubs from the Phils as a throw-in, with Larry Bowa going to Chicago and Ivan DeJesus to Philadelphia.) And all of his accolades are deserved. He’s a good guy, and deserves a chance to manage in the big leagues someday.

But let’s make two points here:

- Mike Quade also deserves a chance to manage. Sandberg’s managed in the minors for four years, the last year with the Cubs’ AAA team. Quade managed in the minors for 17 years, nine of which were at the AAA level. He also spent three and a half years as a Cubs coach and three years as an Oakland Athletics’ coach. So in terms of experience, Quade wins that one.

- Sandberg is a baseball Hall of Famer, but what happens to managers?

They get fired. And it doesn’t happen often to a team hero like Sandberg has been to the Cubs. And when it does happen, it’s not pretty.

I’ve come up with a list of 11 members of the Hall who have also managed in the big leagues. And only one really managed in the same place where he achieved all his success as a player. Here’s the list, in reverse chronological order:

Frank Robinson
Eddie Mathews
Bob Lemon
Yogi Berra
Lou Boudreau
Ted Williams
Joe Cronin
Bill Terry
Mel Ott
Frankie Frisch
Rogers Hornsby

Boudreau, Cronin, Terry, Ott, Frisch, and Hornsby were all player-managers for significant portions of time. (And all were pretty successful in both roles with the exception of Ott, who never finished above third place and supposedly inspired successor Leo Durocher to comment “Nice guys finish last.”)

Ted Williams never managed the Red Sox, just in Washington and Texas. Bob Lemon never managed the Indians, just in Kansas City, Chicago, and New York.

Eddie Mathews was a star for the Milwaukee Braves, but managed the Atlanta Braves. He only played in Atlanta for a year near the tail end of his career.

Frank Robinson had some great years with the Orioles, and managed the Orioles, but wasn’t exclusive to either team – the O’s were the second of five teams he played for, and the third of four teams he managed.

Yogi Berra – ah, here’s the issue. He managed the Yankees in 1964, won the pennant, just barely lost the World Series – and was fired anyway. Understandably bitter, he went over to the Mets and achieved some success as a coach and manager. Back over to the Yanks, he coached for another eight years, then managed the team again for a year and change – and was fired again, just 15 games into the season, despite assurances from George Steinbrenner he’d be given a real shot at managing the team. He wouldn’t set foot in Yankee Stadium again for nearly 15 years.

It wasn’t pretty. Just as I’m sure it wasn’t pretty when the Packers fired Bart Starr as their coach. After nine seasons. During which he made the playoffs once, and had an overall record of 52-76-3.

Look, I don’t know if Mike Quade’s going to be a great manager, or if Ryne Sandberg will be, or both, or neither. Quade had a good quarter-season at the end of 2010, but that’s usually pretty meaningless. (The Angels had a run of firing managers mid-season, the new guy did well in August and September, they’d be impressed and give him a two- or three-year deal, and the team would be lousy for the next year and a half – until they’d fire the manager mid-season and start the cycle over.)

But I know, all other things being equal I’d rather take a chance with a guy with more experience, and if he fails have no problem in letting him go, that going with a guy that I’d hate to fire because he was a superstar for the team for years and years. It’s not worth the messy divorce.

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Will One of the Mets' Big Three Return?



The Big Three of 1996, that is.




Long, long ago, the New York Mets had three brilliant pitching prospects that everyone figured couldn't miss. They were to challenge Tom Glavine, Greg Maddux, and John Smoltz of the Braves for starting superiority within a few years. Guaranteed.




Except it didn't happen. All three had major arm issues -- possibly brought on by throwing too many innings at too young an age (which was allegedly manager Dallas Green's idea), possibly not. In any case, Bill Pulsipher washed out of the major leagues altogether, Paul Wilson put together a few so-so years with Cincinnati, and Jason Isringhausen was turned into a reliever -- and was traded to Oakland for Billy Taylor during the 1999 stretch run. Which turned out to be a big mistake, as Isringhausen became a star closer for the Athletics and St. Louis Cardinals.




Now Isringhausen is back in the Mets' camp and looking to latch on as a bullpen guy. He likely wouldn't be a closer (although he might be used as such to keep Francisco Rodriguez's option year from vesting -- if Frankie closes 54 games this year, it happens), but he'd be a veteran arm. It might happen.



I've written before about the Mets picking up players past their prime and expecting great things. No one is expecting great things from Jason Isringhausen at this point. He's not going to save 30 games. He won't be on the mound at the end of October when the Mets win the World Series. It's not going to happen.


But it would be nice to see him make a small comeback with the team that got him started, and for the Mets to get a small return on a long-ago (but not forgotten) investment.

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

2011 Cardinals Already in Trouble




The Cardinals already have enough trouble with Albert Pujols still unsigned beyond this season, but let's put that to the side. They finished in second last year with Pujols, Matt Holliday, Chris Carpenter, and Wainwright all reasonably healthy. If Wainwright misses a significant period of time, they'll have a hard time contending.


The Cardinals have built a team with a few legitimate superstars (see above) and a lot of role players (their double-play combo this year will be Skip Schumaker and Ryan Theriot). Losing one of the superstars for an extended length of time changes the equation; it also means, come June or July, the Cardinals might be more willing to deal Pujols to a team that can sign him for what he wants (read: Yankees) rather than keeping him and getting draft picks.
We'll see what happens.

Monday, February 21, 2011

Why I Like the Naperville Public Library


Beside the long hours they're open, the convenience of their old books at ridiculous prices -$1 for a hardcover and 50 cents for a paperback is the going rate, but sometimes they go for as cheap as a quarter or a dime.

And so, tonight, I expanded my baseball collection:

Veeck, As in Wreck (Veeck/Linn) -- The autobiography of Bill Veeck, which I've been meaning to read for years.

Mind Game: How to Boston Red Sox Got Smart, Won a World Series, and Created a New Blueprint for Winning (Baseball Prospectus/Goldman) -- The problem with some books is they wind up looking ridiculous in retrospect (and a lot of them wind up going up for sale at the library as a result). For example, I had a chance to buy Tim McCarver's book, The Perfect Season - Why 1998 Was Baseball's Greatest Year, but time has shown that year was, in fact, its most steroidal (is that a word?). This one, by the usually reliable guys at BP, should last.

Blue Skies, Green Fields: A Celebration of 50 Major League Baseball Stadiums (Rosen) -- Coffee table book (not really well designed, unfortunately) featuring great stadiums of the past and present. I haven't seen this very often, so I was happy to find it hear.

Ed Barrow: The Bulldog Who Built the Yankees' First Dynasty (Levitt) -- Published by University of Nebraska Press, which means it's a labor of love for the author. Barrow was the VP/GM of the Yankees from the 1920s through late 1940s.

Yankee for Life: My 40-Year Journey in Pinstripes (Murcer/Waggoner) -- Yeah, I can't stand the Yankees, but Murcer was a good guy, and one of the few reasons to watch the team in the early 1970s (when they featured an infield of Danny Cater, Horace Clarke, Gene Michael, and Jerry Kenney).

Built to Win: Inside Stories and Leadership Strategies From Baseball's Winningest GM (Schuerholz/Guest) -- probably not the first book I'll read, but he did build a fantastic run of Braves teams.

Total spent: five dollars.

Yes, I'm a happy man tonight.

Thursday, January 6, 2011

2010 National League Catchers

Catchers are underrated – many teams settle for guys who can call a good game and have “intangibles.” But what a team really wants is a guy (or guys) who can reach an .800 OPS and can call a good game, as well as pitchers who hold runners on well.

Stats:

BA – batting average

OBP – on-base percentage

SLG – slugging average

OPS – on-base percentage + slugging average

SEC – secondary average (created by Bill James to indicate how many runs a player will produce, it’s extra bases on base hits + walks + stolen bases / at-bats + walks)

Rankings are in order of OPS.

1. Brian McCann, Atlanta (.269 BA / .375 OBP / .453 SLG / .828 OPS / .302 SEC)

Yes, the days when a catcher would be among the very best hitters in the NL are long gone. McCann’s been the best the NL has to offer the last two years, and probably will continue to do so. Warning: his power has dipped a bit. Note McCann also has the top secondary average in the league – he’s easily the best option here.

2. Carlos Ruiz/Brian Schneider, Philadelphia (.286 BA / .386 OBP / .431 SLG / .817 OPS / .256 SEC)

Give the Phillies a lot of credit here – they have a good platoon catching system at a cheap price (Ruiz and Schneider combined made a bit over 3 million last year.) The best catching prospect, Sebastian Valle, played A ball last year and both Ruiz and Schneider are signed for 2011, so don’t expect changes.

3. Ramon Hernandez / Ryan Hanigan / Corky Miller, Cincinnati (.292 BA / .369 OBP / .424 SLG / .793 OPS / .217 SEC)

This is kind of a fluke – Hernandez’s numbers were a little higher than normal, Hanigan’s a lot higher. Hanigan’s 30, so last year’s .300 average probably represented an outlier year. Miller’s a journeyman catcher. All three are back for 2011.

4. Buster Posey / Bengie Molina / Eli Whiteside, San Francisco (.281 BA / .335 OBP / .439 SLG / .773 OPS / .215 SEC)

Yeah, Buster Posey’s going to be great, but that wasn’t all him. He doesn’t take a lot of walks, which is a little worrisome. Molina’s now in Texas, and Whiteside’s not going to be a viable regular, so the Giants better hope Posey’s healthy.

5. Geovany Soto / Koyie Hill, Chicago Cubs (.253 BA / .341 OBP / .417 SLG / .759 OPS / .267 SEC)

If Soto had stayed healthier, this number would have been higher – Hill had a .552 OPS, Soto .890, which would have topped Brian McCann for #1 in the league. But Soto missed 57 games and only had a little over 400 plate appearances. Cubs have to upgrade the backup position if that continues to happen, because if they have Hill behind the plate for 50-70 games a year, they won’t win anything.

6. Miguel Montero / Chris Snyder / John Hester, Arizona Diamondbacks (.245 BA / .333 OBP / .419 SLG / .752 OPS / .270 SEC)

Montero won the job after a fine 2009 season, but struggled with injuries last year. Snyder was dealt to the Pirates midyear, so he’s out of the rotation. Hester’s around but isn’t really a factor; Henry Blanco has been signed as the backup, but he turns 40 in August, so the D-Backs are in trouble if Montero suffers a serious injury.

7. Miguel Olivo / Chris Ianetta, Colorado Rockies (.246 BA / .316 OBP / .428 SLG / .744 OPS / .268 SEC)

Ianetta was one of the top catchers in the NL in 2009, so the Rockies let platoon partner Yorvit Torrealba go in favor of Olivo. Ianetta wasn’t the same player in 2010, but Olivo stepped up a bit, so the results were fairly similar. Olivo signed with Seattle, so Ianetta needs to step it up this year.

8. Yorvit Torrealba / Nick Hundley, San Diego Padres (.261 BA / .327 OBP / .396 SLG / (.723 OPS / .223 SEC)

Surprisingly decent offensive contribution from this position. No one expected much from Hundley, and Torrealba was the lesser half of a platoon in Colorado, but they kept the position from being a problem. Torrealba signed with Texas, so Hundley will have the full-time job.

9. Russell Martin / A.J. Ellis / Rod Barajas / Brad Ausmus, Los Angeles Dodgers (.256 BA / .348 OBP / .350 SLG / .698 OPS / .208 SEC)

The Dodgers finally realized Russell Martin wasn’t worth the money they would have had to pay him and let him go (the Yankees ridiculously paid $4 million to have him be Jorge Posada’s backup/successor). Barajas will supply his usual home runs-and-nothing else, with Dioner Navarro as the backup. I thought Brad Ausmus retired, but he’s still on the roster.

10. Jonathan Lucroy / George Kotteras / Gregg Zaun, Milwaukee Brewers (.237 BA / .311 OBP / .364 SLG / .675 OPS / .219 SEC)

Zaun was supposed to be the starter, but got hurt and was gone for the year in mid-May. Lucroy wasn’t ready yet, but he established himself pretty well. Kotteras is a standard backup guy, but the Brewers have also brought in Wil Nieves from Washington, for reasons unknown.

11. Yadier Molina, St. Louis Cardinals (.262 BA / .329 OBP / .342 SLG / .671 OPS / .172 SEC)

This is another “Tony LaRussa must know something we don’t” entry, because most teams would be looking for someone else about now, while the Cardinals are going to pay him $5 million next year. I know he’s a great defensive catcher, and last year was a bit of a dropoff for him, but that’s still an awful lot of money for not a lot of output.

12. Rod Barajas / Josh Thole / Henry Blanco, New York Mets (.241 BA / .298 OBP / .372 SLG / .670 OPS / .194 SEC)

Most of the low on-base percentage is due to Barajas taking eight walks in 249 ABs in the first half of the season. Thole put up a .723 OPS in 202 ABs in the second half, which is a good sign. However, that came down to .743 against righties and .343 against lefties (admittedly, he only faced a southpaw 30 times), so the Mets nabbed Ronny Paulino, who has an .881 career OPS against lefties. This seems a better idea than the doofus blogger who lamented not outbidding the Yankees for Russell Martin.

13. Ryan Doumit / Chris Snyder / Jason Jaramillo, Pittsburgh Pirates (.220 BA / .304 OBP / .357 SLG / .661 OPS / .220 SEC)

Another of many areas the Pirates need to fix. Doumit’s pretty decent when healthy, which isn’t often enough. Snyder was dreadful after coming over from Arizona in midseason, but he’s still likely a better option than the light-hitting Jaramillo.

14. Ronny Paulino / Brad Davis / John Baker / Brett Hayes, Florida Marlins (.238 BA / .297 OBP / .353 SLG / .650 OPS / .189 SEC)

Paulino is a little stretched as a regular, but he was better than most of the other options the Marlins have. Baker is counted on to be the starter this year, which is likely a reach. I loved Davis in Midnight Express.

15. Ivan Rodriguez / Wil Nieves, Washington Nationals (.248 BA / .279 OBP / .336 SLG / .616 OPS / .129 SEC)

Hard to believe this wasn’t the worst catching pair in the league last year. Rodriguez was once on track for the Hall of Fame, but he may be ruining his chances in his quest to play more seasons than any other catcher (this will be his 20th). Nieves has moved on to Milwaukee, so someone else will have to back Rodriguez up.

16. Humberto Quintero / Jason Castro, Houston Astros (.222 BA / .272 OBP / .304 SLG / .577 OPS / .139 SEC)

I don’t think the Astros, in their 50 years of existence, have ever had an All-Star catcher. I know they’ve never had one who’s hit 20 homers. Anyway, Castro is now the catcher of the future, now that it’s been established J. R. Towles can’t his big league pitching (.830 OPS in AAA, .600 in the majors), unfortunately Castro was just as bad last year (.573 OPS). At least they’re not talking about bringing Brad Ausmus back.

Sunday, April 4, 2010

2010 Major League Baseball Predictions

American League East

1. New York Yankees
2. Tampa Bay Rays*
3. Boston Red Sox
4. Baltimore Orioles
5. Toronto Blue Jays

Yankees are too strong to fail much, unless the injury wave from Queens moves to the Bronx. Rays had a lot of things go wrong last year; that will change (the asterisk means I think they'll win the wild card). Red Sox and Rays are probably about even, but the Sox are carrying a couple of vets they shouldn't play, but will. Orioles will be a lot better in two years.

American League Central

1. Minnesota Twins
2. Chicago White Sox
3. Detroit Tigers
4. Kansas City Royals
5. Cleveland Indians

If it weren't for Minnesota, every team in the Central would be hard-pressed to win 75 games. Cleveland may be especially bad; I don't see any future among the pitching staff at all.

American League West

1. Anaheim Angels who claim they're from Los Angeles
2. Seattle Mariners
3. Texas Rangers
4. Oakland Athletics

Angels appear hard to beat; the Mariners may take a half-step back this year. Texas will let Ron Washington go by June 1. A's will be a lot better if they get some bats; the pitching is young and good.

National League East
1. Philadelphia Phillies
2. Atlanta Braves*
3. New York Mets
4. Florida Marlins
5. Washington Nationals

Phillies have had as much good fortune with injuries as Mets have had bad -- six of their eight position players were in 155 or more games last year (only LF Raul Ibanez and C Carlos Ruiz didn't make the cut). Braves will overachieve for Bobby Cox's last season. Mets will continue to struggle; they needed to add another starting pitcher this winter and didn't. Marlins will come up short and get rid of a lot of players because they're the cheapest team around. Nationals need two or three years to get out of the hole ex-GM Jim Bowden placed them.

National League Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals
2. Chicago Cubs
3. Cincinnati Reds
4. Milwaukee Brewers
5. Pittsburgh Pirates
6. Houston Astros

Cards still look like the class of the division unless Carpenter and Wainwright both go down. Cubs could take the division if everything goes right. Reds have a lot of young talent, but they're short on pitching and Dusty Baker ruins young arms anyway. Brewers will let Ken Macha go by July 1. Pirates are finally putting together a plan; they'll avoid 90 losses for the first time in years. Astros will be awful for the next five seasons.

National League West
1. Colorado Rockies
2. Los Angeles Dodgers
3. San Francisco Giants
4. Arizona Diamondbacks
5. San Diego Padres

Rockies will be the best of the NL for the next few seasons. Dodgers are messed up due to their owners' divorce, and Manny Ramirez is starting to show his age. Giants need hitting, Diamondbacks need hitting, Padres need everything.

AL Champion: New York Yankees
NL Champion: Colorado Rockies

World Series Champion: Colorado Rockies

Saturday, April 3, 2010

One to Root For


The Kane County Cougars, a lower-division Class A team that's part of the Oakland Athletics farm system, plays about 35 minutes from my house. We try to go to a few games a year. There are a few independent league teams closer than they are, but I don't really see the point of going to those games over the Cougars -- independent leagues, with a couple of exceptions, are primarily populated by players who are has-beens, never-will-bes, might-have-beens, weres, and jerks. You go to a Cougars game, you'll see at least a couple of guys who will be on the major league roster in a few years. (I specifically recall seeing Joe Blanton, now a starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, toss a pretty good game around 2002 or 2003.)


Anyway, Danny and I were at a game last year, with the Cougars taking on the West Michigan Whitecaps, who play near Grand Rapids and are a Detroit Tiger farm team. The thing I noticed was about 10 or 12 people next to us -- cheering wildly when the opposing pitcher did anything well. This rarely happens at minor league games. I mean, it's not a criminal offense or anything at Cougar games (I can't say the same for Cub or Yankee games), but it's a surprise.


So in the second inning, I finally asked the woman next to me, "I gather you know him?" Turned out she was his aunt, the attractive young woman behind me was his girlfriend, and his mom was there too. His name was Casey Crosby, and he grew up in Sugar Grove, IL, about five or ten minutes from the park. This had to have been a great thrill for the family.


Also nerve-wracking. As his aunt explained, he'd had Tommy John surgery the year before and missed the entire season. So the Tigers were keeping him on a very, very tight pitch count. He wound up pitching only four innings (I think he gave up a couple of walks), but didn't allow any runs. And I did notice he had pretty good velocity. So I tried to remember his name.


Well, turns out he's quite a prospect. My Athlon 2010 magazine lists him as one of the top prospects in the Tigers system, as does Baseball Prospectus, which notes 1) he was dominant once he got his control back, and 2) he could be turned into a reliever to save strain on his arm (think Kerry Wood).


So remember the name. His family was very nice, and you like to see the good guys make it.