Saturday, December 5, 2015

Jeff Samardzija Is Now Signed As Well, Five-Year Deal With the San Francisco Giants



Per CBS Sports . com.

The Giants didn't wait long after losing out on Zack Greinke, so perhaps they had Samardzija in mind to begin with.  The bad news is this guy is a big drop from Greinke - he had a lousy year last year with the White Sox, leading the league in home runs allowed.  In fairness, U.S. Cellular Field (a.k.a. Comiskey Park) is prone to home runs, so it might not have been all his fault. 

The Giants really didn't have great starting pitching last year other than Madison Bumgarner (4.8 WARP) - Chris Heston and Jake Peavy checked in at 1.5 WARP apiece, and the rest of the starters (Mike Leake, Tim Lincecum, Tim Hudson, Ryan Vogelsong, Matt Cain) combined for 0.1 WARP.  Of those five, only Cain is signed for next year (Hudson retired and the other three are free agents), so there were holes to fill no matter what.  Still, Samardzija is a guy who's had one really good year (2014, with a 3.7 WARP, or Wins Above Replacement Player), so it wouldn't be shocking to see buyer's remorse kick in within a year or two.

Here are his stats on Baseball Reference.

Friday, December 4, 2015

Zack Greinke to Sign With Arizona Diamondbacks



Again, per CBS Sports . com.

This is a big surprise; it was assumed for a long time the Dodgers and Giants were going to be the two main bidders.  Greinke had a huge year last year (9.3 WARP, or Wins Above Replacement Player) and has had 21.1 WARP over the last four years overall.  He is 32 years old, but he's been pretty solid (he's only had two seasons in the last eight where he made less than 30 starts, and both of those seasons were 28 apiece), and he doesn't seem prone to injury.  He had some issues with social anxiety disorder in 2006, but that hasn't been a problem since then.  Should be a good pickup for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Greinke's career stats are here on Baseball Reference.

Chicago Cubs Sign John Lackey to Two-Year Deal



Per CBS Sports . com.

This is kind of a surprise; I knew the Cubs were in the market for an additional starting pitcher, but I didn't know Lackey was in the mix (especially since he's coming from their arch-rivals, the Cardinals).  Pretty decent year last year, and 9.6 WAR over the last three years (he had Tommy John surgery in 2012).  The only down side is he's 37 years old, so it's hard to say when his fastball will slow down.  Seems like a pretty good acquisition, with two caveats:  1) per Ken Rosenthal, the total payment to Lackey over the two years of the deal will be $32-$34 million, which may be a lot if he slows down, and 2) since St. Louis made a qualifying offer, the Cubs forfeit their first round draft pick to the Cardinals.  On the other hand, given the Cubs ineptitude in the draft - between Mark Prior in 2001 and Kris Bryant in 2013, the only 1st round pick over a 5.0 WARP is Josh Donaldson, who never actually played a game in a Cubs uniform (he was dealt to the A's a year after he was picked) - maybe that's just as well.

Lackey's Baseball Reference page is here.

Tigers Reported Ready to Sign Mike Pelfrey



According to Jon Heyman at CBS Sports . com, anyway.

On first glance, this is a gigantic so-what.  Pelfrey will be 32 years old when spring training opens next year.  He's had two pretty good years, where he accumulated a combined 5.7 WARP (wins over replacement player); unfortunately, those years were 2008 and 2010.  Over the last five seasons, he's had a combined 1.6 WARP, and 1.4 of that was last year, when he won 6 games, lost 11, and put up a 4.26 ERA for the Twins.  Frankly, this is a guy that I would be looking at after most of the dust has settled in the winter market, not early on.

Perhaps Detroit, having already signed Jordan Zimmerman, is looking to finish up its starting rotation.  However, Detroit's problem last year was, aside from the now-departed David Price, they got a decent (although not spectacular) year out of Justin Verlander, and a lot of lousy out of everybody else.  The team's starting pitching finished dead last in the majors with a -8.1 WARP, after having finished second in the majors in 2014 at 7.4 WARP (behind the Washington Nationals, who also dropped last year, but not by anywhere near that much).  No Detroit pitcher, other than Price and Verlander, who started more than five games had a WARP above 0.1.  They lost Max Scherzer and Rick Porcello from the 2014 team (Scherzer was still excellent last year, Porcello was not), but Anibal Sanchez and Alfredo Simon, who were expected to be good again last year, both tanked.

Detroit has got to fix this if they have any hope to contend (which is going to be hard in a division that features the World Series champion Kansas City Royals and the steadily-improving Cleveland Indians and Minnesota Twins); the problem is Zimmerman and Pelfrey may not be anywhere near enough.  I guess the thinking is Pelfrey will be a lock to be decent, but I don't see a lot of evidence to make that guarantee.

Here's Pelfrey's stats at Baseball Reference.

Friday, February 13, 2015

Why Sports Writers Should Be Read Skeptically, Vol. 1

Here's a suggestion the Mets should pickup Everth Cabrera.

That's the same Everth Cabrera who is facing an upcoming trial after being pulled over for DUI (marijuana).  Oh, and there's a resisting arrest charge involved, too.

Also, the same Everth Cabrera who was suspended for 50 games due to his involvement with Biogenesis (PEDs).

And the same Everth Cabrera who was arrested in 2012 due to misdemeanor spousal abuse (the charges were dropped).

He also has a career .652 OPS.  That's a grand total of seven points higher than the guy Mets fans are sick of, Ruben Tejada.

The Mets also have Wilmer Flores, who they plan to start this year.  He's probably going to be below average in the field (to the points where Tejada will probably play about 100 games as a defensive replacement, and start if a groundball pitcher is on the mound).  Flores put up a .935 OPS last year at AAA Las Vegas, then .664 in the majors (.804 in September).

They also have in their minor league system shortstop Matt Reynolds, who put up an .859 OPS between AA and AAA.  And longtime shortstop prospect Gavin Cecchini, who will start this year in AA.  And Amed Rosario, one of the team's top 10 prospects, who will start the season in A ball.  He's 19 years old, by the way.

But no, the Mets shouldn't wait on those guys, or use what they have now.  They should take a guy who's probably going to be suspended again by MLB for drug use - assuming he doesn't go to jail.

In fact, this link (if it works - it was down as I write this) suggests not only the Mets should sign Cabrera, they should give him $3.5 million - which would be a 40 percent raise over last year.

Baseball teams shouldn't make panic moves.  That's how they get untradeable players.  Ask the Phillies, or Diamondbacks, or maybe even Detroit in a year or so.

Don't give in to the stupid.

Monday, January 26, 2015

You Can Never Have Enough Baseball Logo Clothing, Right?

 


Here's my current inventory:





Team

Caps

Description

Shirts / Jerseys

Description

Atlanta Braves

1

Fitted standard home cap.

1

Alan Embree game-worn jersey

Miami Marlins

1

Fitted black Florida Marlins cap.

0

 

New York Mets

4

One '47 blue cap, two stadium giveaway caps (one with a white crown, used only in 1996, the other with a black crown and bill), one NYPD/NYFD

7

One giveaway t-shirt, one Jose Reyes shirt, one Johan Santana shirt, one v-neck orange Cooperstown Collection t-shirt, one sweatshirt, one 1993 generic jersey, one Jorge Fabregas game-worn jersey

Philadelphia Phillies

0

 

1

Roy Halladay t-shirt

Washington Nationals

0

 

0

 

Cincinnati Reds

0

 

0

 

Chicago Cubs

3

One fitted standard home cap, one fitted cap with reverse colors (red crown and bill, blue C), one adjustable blue cap

5

Three t-shirts, various formats; one Trace Coquillette (spring training) game-worn jersey, one Ferguson Jenkins Cooperstown Collection jersey

Milwaukee Brewers

1

Adjustable cap from the 1978-93 era

2

Two t-shirts, various formats

Pittsburgh Pirates

1

Adjustable black cap

0

 

St. Louis Cardinals

1

Adjustable red cap

1

David Freese t-shirt

Arizona Diamondbacks

0

 

0

 

Colorado Rockies

1

Fitted black cap

1

One t-shirt

Los Angeles Dodgers

0

 

0

 

San Francisco Giants

1

Fitted brown cap

0

 

San Diego Padres

1

Adjustable brown & yellow cap; looks like a 1980-84 alternate

1

Kyle Blanks t-shirt

Baltimore Orioles

1

Fitted white/brown/orange cap circa 1988

1

One t-shirt

Boston Red Sox

1

Adjusted (with mesh!) standard cap

1

Dustin Pedroia green t-shirt

New York Yankees

2

One fitted cap (which my roommate found on the subway; I've since washed it), one adjustable cap with white crown

0

 

Tampa Bay Rays

0

But somewhere I have (had?) an old Devil Rays cap - my dad got it for me two years before their first game

0

 

Toronto Blue Jays

1

Adjustable black cap circa 2009

1

J.R. Arrencibia t-shirt

Chicago White Sox

8

One St. Patrick's day green cap, one giveaway grey cap, one adjustable 1983 red-white-blue cap, one fitted 1971 red cap, one adjustable black cap, one giveaway camouflage cap, one World Champs cap, one grey/red cap w/o Sox logo

6

Jake Peavy t-shirt, Paul Konerko t-shirt, St. Patrick's day t-shirt, 2005 World Champs t-shirt, two sweat shirts

Cleveland Indians

0

 

0

 

Detroit Tigers

1

Fitted road cap circa 2000

2

Two t-shirts, various formats

Kansas City Royals

0

 

0

 

Minnesota Twins

1

Adjustable standard cap

2

One 2010 division champs shirt, one Justin Morneau t--shirt

Anaheim Angels of LA or whatever

0

 

0

 

Houston Astros

0

 

0

 

Oakland Athletics

1

Fitted green/gold cap

0

 

Seattle Mariners

0

 

0

 

Texas Rangers

0

 

1

One synthetic fabric shirt

TOTAL

31

 

32